Thursday, November 15, 2007

Start/Sit: Week 11


Start- Kurt Warner- Warner is one of those boom or bust players that sometimes are worth taking a chance on. He threw for 3 touchdowns last week and seems to be getting into a rhythm with the offense. Of course, he's always one sack away from an injury, but he's benefited from improved play by the defense and no longer feels like he has to win the game by himself. It doesn't hurt that he's playing the Bengals, whom your grandmother could throw on for 180 yards (at least). Forecast: 225 yards, 2 touchdowns, 1 interception.

Sit- Carson Palmer- Palmer just hasn't looked like himself this year. Much of his trouble can be attributed to an offensive line that has been decimated by injuries. There is cause for hope for him, though, with the return of Chris Henry. I just think you might have a better option this week. Forecast: 225 yards, 1 touchdown, 2 sacks

Running Back:

Start- Willis McGahee- Every time this column has predicted a big game for McGahee, he has inevitably come up short. We're hoping this time might be the charm. Baltimore is fighting for it's season right now, has the woeful Browns defense at home and will need to establish a strong running game to compensate for it's putrid passing offense. If he can't get it done this week, he won't get it done any week. Forecast- 125 yards, 2 touchdowns

Sit- Reggie Bush- Bush has been banged up recently and is showing the effects of being the main man in the backfield for the Saints, a role which he has not convinced many people that he is suitable for. He left last week's game with an injury and may not be 100% for this contest. Also, look for the Saints to start expanding the roles of Pierre Thomas and Aaron Stecker to keep Bush fresh. All this adds up to a sub-par day for Reggie. Forecast- 65 yards, 1 touchdown

Wide Receiver:

Start- Santonio Holmes- Holmes has caught 6 receptions in a game twice this season and now faces a tasty matchup against the woeful Jets. Pittsburgh is annoyed with a perceived lack of respect (with the rest of the league in love with the Patriots). Look for them to make a statement with this game. Expect Holmes to be a big part of that. Forecast- 7 receptions, 110 yards, 1 touchdown

Sit- Plaxico Burress- Burress has not been healthy for nearly the whole season, but at least had been able to play through the pain. However, his ankle appears to be getting worse and it is now starting to affect his game. He came up small last week against Dallas and, with his inability to push off and leap like he normally would, he will be invisible again versus Detroit. I know it's tough to swallow, but go with a healthier option on your roster. Forecast- 3 receptions, 40 yards.

Tight End:

Start- Owen Daniels- One would think that Daniels would've benefited the most from Andre Johnson's injury, but the opposite has been true. Defenses have focused on him and his numbers have suffered. Johnson returns this week and Daniels ought to be able to shake free to make some key catches across the middle. He's a bit of a forgotten man in Fantasy circles and may even be available on your waiver wire. Forecast- 5 receptions, 45 yards, 1 touchdown

Sit- Vernon Davis- It's gotten tough to recommend any 49er this year, but Davis has been singled out a couple of times because his potential. However, San Francisco's problems appear to simply be getting worse. Davis is being forced to stay in and block due to the 49er's porous offensive line, a task for which he is not suited and which frustrates him greatly. You really don't want any part of this trainwreck. Forecast- 3 receptions, 30 yards


Start- Dallas- The Cowboys are coming off a big win against the Giants and are looking to maintain their momentum against another division foe. They are also only giving up 87 yards per game against the rush, meaning it could be a long day for Clinton Portis. They will dare young Jason Campbell to beat them through the air. Campbell is getting better, but he will not be able to handle the variety of blitzes that Wade Phillips will throw at him. Forecast- 3 sacks, 2 interceptions

Sit- Jacksonville- Jacksonville has just not been the same rapacious defense they've been in past seasons. Part of the problem has been an ineffective offense which has kept the D on field for too much of the season. They are giving 102 yards on the ground per game, not a terrible number. However, LT comes to town this week and the Charger's gameplan will be to run him all day long and the Jaguars will not be able to keep up. Forecast- 1 sack, 1 interception.

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