Kansas State (-7.5) @ Nebraska - OK, KState totally laid an egg last week, losing to (gulp) Iowa State, but this week they are giving almost 9 fewer points to a Nebraska team which has a -14 takeaway/giveaway margin to KState's +6...that's a difference of 20 turnovers. KState usually wins by 13.5 whereas Nebbie loses by 8. While we're always a bit nervous about the old "7.5", if KState can get at least 2 turnovers, they win by two scores easily. Go with K-State -6.
East Carolina (-7) @ Marshall - Same story as above with the takeaway/giveaway margin - it's E. Carolina with a 26 turnover advantage,so we expect at least 3 turnovers going EC's way. Marshall usually loses games by 14 points and most recently lost to second place UCF by 34 points. UCF's only conference loss is to, you guessed it, first place East Carolina by 14. Our resident Vegas Insider, Pete-Diddy, believes this game is a trap, since the line should be much higher, but, then again, he also believes in UFOs. Go with EC -7.
UPSET SPECIAL OF THE WEEK North Texas (+15.5) vs. Navy - How on earth can I pick NT, the worst team in I-A football, the team with a former (as in last year) high school coach running the program, the team I've consistently picked against and won?!?! Well, Navy is coming off the emotional, historic triple overtime win over ND. Navy is the one team who may have a more shallow defense than NT. Plus Navy runs the ball while NT has gotten quite adept at passing with Freshman QB Giovanni Vizza (remember that name...ok, don't remember that name...) gaining lots of experience this season. Navy will win the game, but for them to win by 16, it will take more of a vertical offense than they have. Take NT +15.5.
Don't forget to thank a Veteran this weekend!